How bettors are taking part in Vikings-Packers, TCU-Michigan, Ohio State-Georgia

How bettors are taking part in Vikings-Packers, TCU-Michigan, Ohio State-Georgia
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How bettors are taking part in Vikings-Packers, TCU-Michigan, Ohio State-Georgia
Read Time:13 Minute, 35 Second

Positive, the NFL Week 17 odds board has a bunch of notable video games, which is to be anticipated. However the College Football Playoff semifinal odds are additionally entrance and heart this weekend.

High-ranked Georgia goals to remain on observe for a second straight nationwide championship when it takes on No. 4 Ohio State within the Peach Bowl on Saturday night time. Previous to that, No. 2 Michigan and No. 3 TCU sq. off within the Fiesta Bowl.

Extra on each of these video games, and loads of NFL Week 17 betting nuggets, coming your manner. Let’s bounce into this week’s playing nuggets and intel.

Massive Ten non-believer

Rex Beyers, a veteran oddsmaker and present head of wagering at PlayUp US, has ideas on each CFP semifinals. And people ideas don’t favor the convention that despatched two colleges to the four-team playoff.

“I don’t ever wish to want a Massive Ten crew,” Beyers mentioned of a place he seems to keep away from in his bookmaking course of.

RELATED: Week 17 NFL lines

For a lot of the previous 4 weeks, Georgia has been a consensus 6.5-point favourite in opposition to Ohio State (together with at FOX Wager) after opening -7 at most sportsbooks. Beyers isn’t bought on that half-point transfer towards the Buckeyes and, in reality, expects it to return up earlier than the 8 p.m. ET kickoff on New 12 months’s Eve.

“These Massive Ten groups, whenever you put them within the deepest of waters with an SEC crew, I don’t wish to want them,” Beyers reiterated. “Simply from speaking to folks, and in addition my opinion about SEC groups once they’re truly making an attempt, the road has a greater probability of going to 7 fairly than 6.”

Whether or not it goes to Georgia -7 or not, depend on Beyers and his threat crew to make the Ohio State worth as enticing as doable, to attract as a lot Buckeyes cash as doable and have the guide needing the Bulldogs.

As for the opening semifinal, a 4 p.m. ET New 12 months’s Eve begin, Michigan was a consensus -9 on the opening line and touched -9.5 at some books. Once more, Beyers isn’t shopping for it.

“I may by no means justify the quantity being that top,” he mentioned.

And certainly, it didn’t final lengthy. This matchup has been painted to Michigan -7.5 a lot of this month, together with at PlayUp, the place the Wolverines are -7.5 (-111).

“TCU misplaced to Kansas State,” Beyers mentioned, alluding to the 31-28 additional time setback within the Massive 12 title recreation. “I didn’t dock TCU in any respect for that. All they did was discover methods to beat groups all yr.”

SATURDAY’S GAMES (odds through FOX Bet)

Fiesta Bowl (Glendale, Arizona)
No. 3 TCU vs No. 2 Michigan (4 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Level unfold: Michigan -7.5 (Michigan favored to win by greater than 7.5 factors, in any other case TCU covers)
Moneyline: Michigan -303 favorite to win (guess $10 to win $13.30 whole); TCU +225 underdog to win (guess $10 to win $32.50 whole)
Whole scoring over/below: 58.5 points scored by both teams combined

3TCU Horned Frogs

TCU Horned Frogs


2Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines


Peach Bowl (Atlanta)
No. 4 Ohio State vs No. 1 Georgia (8 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Level unfold: Georgia -6.5 (Michigan favored to win by greater than 6.5 factors, in any other case Ohio State covers)
Moneyline: Georgia -278 favorite to win (guess $10 to win $13.60 whole); Ohio State +205 underdog to win (guess $10 to win $30.50 whole)
Whole scoring over/below: 62.5 points scored by both teams combined

4Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State Buckeyes


1Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia Bulldogs


Certainly, the Horned Frogs went 12-0 straight up (SU) and a powerful 9-2-1 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) within the common season. Behind quarterback Max Duggan, TCU actually fell a few yard wanting being 13-0 SU in rallying late to pressure additional time vs. Kansas State.

“Michigan hasn’t seen any QB who resembles Duggan,” Beyers mentioned. “You begin giving TCU 7.5 factors, that’s nonetheless price a shot, in my view. I give the Horned Frogs probability to win the sport.”

Extra on the CFP semis later on this article.

‘Packers’ playoff hopes are alive’

Darly Johnston and Joe Davis focus on the Inexperienced Bay Packers’ essential win over the Miami Dolphins on Christmas.

Is the Pack again?

The Minnesota Vikings are 12-3 SU – although a much-less notable 6-8-1 ATS – whereas the Green Bay Packers needed to win their final three video games simply to achieve 7-8 SU and ATS.

Minnesota nonetheless has a shot on the NFC’s No. 1 seed within the playoffs and is making an attempt to maintain the No. 2 seed, with San Francisco surging.

However the Vikes are underdogs this week at Lambeau Discipline. WynnBet opened the Packers -3.5 Sunday night time, dipped to -3 Monday, then returned to -3.5 Wednesday.

“This can be a recreation that has taken on new that means for the Packers as they stayed alive within the playoff race by beating the Dolphins final week,” WynnBet senior dealer John Manica mentioned. “We have now obtained two-way sharp motion on this recreation. Respectable sources have guess the +3.5 with the Vikings. Once we transfer the road to -3, somebody rapidly snaps up the Packers.

“I’ve mentioned earlier than that I concern backing Minnesota on the highway open air, however that angle involves fruition when dealing with groups with a successful document. The Packers sit at 7-8, within the hunt. A real toss-up recreation. I extremely doubt we see a serious transfer in both path, with the sport getting batted round the important thing variety of 3 all week.”

The sharp facet

Within the weekly check-in with one skilled bettor in Las Vegas, three video games have his consideration on the NFL Week 17 odds board. First up, he acquired forward of the CowboysTitans recreation, taking Dallas on final week’s look-ahead line – earlier than the Ryan Tannehill harm information broke – at -3.5/-4.

That quantity is all the way in which as much as Cowboys -12.5 at FOX Bet for the Thursday night time recreation. Extra on that matchup later.

The bettor additionally acquired forward of the Tua Tagovailoa information, betting New England at choose ‘em for Sunday’s recreation in opposition to Miami. The Patriots are as much as -3. And he’s acquired another matchup he anticipates firing on: Buffalo at Cincinnati, with the Payments a 1/1.5-point favourite.

“I’ll be on Buffalo, as nicely. Greatest crew with one of the best participant,” he mentioned, alluding to Payments QB Josh Allen. “Joe Burrow struggles with groups that may move rush, and Buffalo is correct on the prime of that record. And the harm to La’el Collins is gigantic.”

The Bengals proper sort out suffered a torn ACL/MCL at New England in Week 16, so Collins’ season is over.

Payments-Bengals is certainly this week’s marquee matchup, hopefully offering an entertaining Monday Evening Soccer matchup. A Buffalo win retains it atop the AFC playoff chase, whereas a Cincy victory retains the Bengals within the hunt for the highest seed.

Herd Hierarchy: Playoff-bound Chargers, Packers leap in Colin’s High 10

Backwards hat Colin Cowherd reveals his High 10 groups heading into Week 17.

Is White’s facet the proper facet?

On Sunday night, the Seattle Seahawks (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) opened as consensus 1.5-point favorites for his or her house recreation in opposition to the New York Jets (7-8 SU, 8-7 ATS). Then on Monday, the Jets introduced that Mike White would return because the beginning QB after lacking two video games with fractured ribs.

The NFL Week 17 odds board reacted swiftly, with New York transferring to a brief highway favourite, initially -1 or -1.5, relying on the sportsbook. The Jets then stretched to -2.5 at a couple of locations, however as of Wednesday night time, the consensus appears to be -1.5.

And PlayUp’s Beyers isn’t seeing it. Like, in any respect.

“I consider the QB change has led to an excessive overreaction. To suppose White is an unlimited improve is foolhardy, at greatest,” Beyers mentioned. “Jacksonville bludgeoned the Jets up entrance on either side of the ball final week. It’s not all on the quarterback’s shoulder.

“We want the Jets for now, which is unlucky. We’re gonna be one of the best quantity accessible on the Jets till we get flipped, and we’d like the Seahawks.”

Beyers is assured in working towards his guide needing Seattle.

“J-E-T-S – Simply Finish The Season. Groups have discovered the Jets. They’ve reached their peak and are going the opposite manner,” Beyers mentioned. “QB is completely the rationale for the Jets to be favored, no matter the way it performs out on the sector. However I consider the Seahawks nonetheless have struggle. For a crew just like the Jets, they don’t go to Seattle typically. They haven’t skilled that ambiance.

“I can’t for the lifetime of me see how the Jets are the favourite.”

No Tua, massive downside?

On one other key harm observe this week, it was introduced that Dolphins QB Tagovailoa is once more in concussion protocol. He gained’t play in Sunday’s key AFC matchup in opposition to the Patriots.

Miami (8-7 SU, 7-8 ATS) is on a four-game shedding skid, going from a possible playoff darling to getting ready to lacking the postseason. New England (7-8 SU, 7-7-1 ATS) can also be struggling, shedding 4 of its previous 5. Each are determined for a win.

“New England tremendously broken its playoffs hopes two weeks in the past with the debacle in opposition to the Raiders. They adopted up that effort with a clueless three quarters in opposition to the Bengals, solely to fumble the sport away late within the fourth after a ferocious rally. How a lot is left within the tank?” WynnBet’s Manica puzzled. “Teddy Bridgewater should bridge the hole to the playoffs for Miami as Tua has now been dominated out.”

WynnBet’s clients don’t suppose Bridgewater has the products.

“The foremost bets have all are available in on New England at totally different ranges,” Manica mentioned. “The primary pop was at New England +2. We rapidly went to select (’em). Then, we have been hit a couple of extra occasions earlier than reaching the important thing variety of 3, transferring by zero to search out New England now the betting favourite. There was lastly a taker on the Dolphins at +3. The guide will certainly want Teddy B. and the Dolphins because the Patriots struggle for his or her playoff lives.”

At PlayUp, Beyers is happy to want the underdog Dolphins.

“I’ve zero points with working that recreation low [on New England] and letting bettors drown us on the Patriots,” Beyers mentioned, noting Wednesday night time his guide is at Patriots -3 (+101). “I don’t know what the Patriots have gotten left. I didn’t actually downgrade the Dolphins for the loss to Inexperienced Bay.”

Even with Miami on a four-game slide, Beyers mentioned he believes the Patriots are the worst crew the Dolphins have seen previously month. Miami’s losses have been at San Francisco, on the Chargers, on the Payments and residential in opposition to Inexperienced Bay.

“The Patriots are the worst of these 5, no momentum, no confidence,” Beyers mentioned. “All Bridgewater does as a ‘canine is get the cash. We’ll want Miami, and that’s effective with me.”

As FOX Sports activities’ Sam Panayotovich famous, Bridgewater is an outstanding 19-4 ATS as a highway underdog.

Double-digit offers

The Las Vegas Raiders shook issues up Wednesday by benching QB Derek Carr for the ultimate two video games, changing him with Jarrett Stidham. In fact, that led to massive odds motion for the Raiders’ recreation in opposition to the 49ers on Sunday.

“In a shock transfer, [Josh] McDaniels determined to bench Carr and go together with Stidham at quarterback and a youth motion at different positions,” WynnBet’s Manica mentioned. “We took a revered wager because the information of Carr’s benching was happening. The sport was sitting at [49ers] -6. We rapidly acquired guess as much as -7, then additional, making all of it the way in which to -10 earlier than the market settled.”

Manica added that the scenario within the AFC South additionally led to some fascinating line motion in Thursday’s Cowboys-Titans recreation.

“In a reasonably weird sequence of occasions, the Titans-Cowboys recreation and the Jaguars-Texans recreation can’t impression the AFC South race in any manner,” Manica mentioned. “Tennessee has determined to relaxation a number of starters. The look-ahead quantity [last week] on this recreation was someplace within the neighborhood of Dallas -3, however opened -9.5 [Sunday] at many sportsbooks, anticipating the disinterest of the Titans.

Derrick Henry was dominated out [Wednesday]. We took a revered guess on the Cowboys after we have been at -10, driving us as much as the place the market presently sits at -12. The Titans have obtained no curiosity.”

Extra on the CFP

With only a couple extra sleeps till the semifinals, WynnBet junior dealer Caden Wickwire provided a couple of insights on the School Soccer Playoff odds.

First up, Ohio State vs. Georgia:

“We have seen good motion thus far,” Wickwire mentioned. “We have taken a good quantity on the Bulldogs at -6.5. I’d think about there are a number of different books which can be in the identical boat and can do what they will to keep away from writing Buckeyes cash at +7, as UGA by [exactly] 7 could be a tricky tablet to swallow. As for the whole, we have actually solely seen Over bets.”

To make clear Wickwire’s level relating to the unfold: If the guide strikes the road to Georgia -7, and the Bulldogs win by 7, all of the Georgia -6.5 bettors receives a commission, and everybody who guess the Bulldogs or Buckeyes at 7 will get a refund. Not a super end result for bookmakers.

And on TCU vs. Michigan:

“The motion has been a bit slower,” Wickwire mentioned. “Nothing substantial on the facet, because the market has appeared to decide on [Michigan] -7.5. We have now taken a couple of first rate bets on the Below, with hardly any buyback, so I would not be shocked to see the whole a bit decrease as we get nearer to kickoff.”

It’s an absolute smorgasbord of soccer these subsequent few days. Don’t get carried away on the betting window or in your cell app. You understand, get pleasure from responsibly. Completely satisfied New 12 months!

Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for He’s a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting house. He’s based mostly in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Observe him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.

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